Friday, August 27, 2010

Emmys 2010: Predicting the winners

The past few years I just haven't been able to get into the Emmys. They frequently award the same people or shows year after year, leading to an overly long and unintersting ceremony. But for the first time in a long time, this year's nominees actually piqued my interest, with a few familiar faces and lots of new ones. The 2010 ceremony, hosted by Jimmy Fallon, is just a few days away, so who will walk home a winner and who will leave empty handed?

Best comedy series
Curb Your Enthusiasm
Glee
Modern Family
Nurse Jackie
The Office
30 Rock
Will win: "Modern Family." "Glee" took home the Golden Globe and is probably the hottest show on television right now, but unlike "Modern Family," it's not a straight-up comedy. Some of the most memorable moments from "Glee" this season leaned on the dramatic side, such as the moving scenes between Kurt and his father. "Modern Family" puts a hilarious new spin on the traditional family sitcom, which will likely resonate more with voters.
Should win: "Modern Family." I do love "Glee," but the back nine weren't nearly as strong in quality as the first part of the season. "Modern Family" was consistently hilarious and is one of the smartest family comedies to emerge in a long time.
Should have been nominated: "Community," "Parks and Recreation," "It's Always Sunny in Philadelphia."
Best drama series
Breaking Bad
Dexter
The Good Wife
Lost
Mad Men
True Blood
Will win: "Mad Men." The AMC drama is an Emmy favorite, and that's unlikely to change this year.
Should win: "Lost." Sure, the sci-fi drama's final season had its weak spots, but overall it was a stellar end to what is possibly television's most original show. "Lost" was such an intelligent, mind-bending and emotional show, and try as they might with shows like "Flash Forward" and the upcoming "The Event," the networks will never be able to replicate it. An Emmy for "Lost" this year would be just as much about awarding the show's overall excellence as recognizing its finale.
Should have been nominated: I honestly don't watch any dramas that weren't nominated, but I hear fans of "Friday Night Lights" and "Fringe" are pretty livid that those critically acclaimed shows were ignored.
Best actor - comedy
Alec Baldwin - 30 Rock
Steve Carell - The Office
Larry David - Curb Your Enthusiasm
Matthew Morrison - Glee
Jim Parsons - The Big Bang Theory
Tony Shalhoub - Monk
Will win: Jim Parsons. He was widely regarded as the favorite to win last year but lost to Alec Baldwin. But given that "Monk" ended this year, it's possible that Emmy favorite Tony Shalhoub could pull an upset.
Should win: I love Parsons and would be thrilled if he takes home the trophy, but given that Steve Carell's reign as Michael Scott is about to draw to a close and he has yet to win, I'd love to see his work recognized.
Should have been nominated: Joel McHale - "Community," Ed O'Neil - "Modern Family" (Yes, I know he submitted himself as supporting like the rest of the cast, which makes me respect him all the more. But Jay is the true patriarch of the family, and if he submitted himself in the lead actor category, he likely would have won.)
Best actress - comedy
Toni Collette - United States of Tara
Edie Falco - Nurse Jackie
Tina Fey - 30 Rock
Julia Louis-Dreyfuss - The New Adventures of Old Christine
Lea Michele - Glee
Amy Poehler - Parks and Recreation
Will win: Edie Falco. This is a tough category to call because there are so many strong contenders here, but Falco is an Emmy favorite in the drama category, and voters love it when an old favorite wows them with something new. Her darkly comic performance on "Nurse Jackie" should secure her the statuette.
Should win: Amy Poehler. "Parks and Recreation" saw a huge leap in quality in its second season, thanks in large part to Poehler's performance. She makes Leslie Knope just as intelligent and lovable and she is daffy and awkward.
Should have been nominated: Courteney Cox - "Cougar Town." Honestly, what is Emmy's problem with her? She was the only member of the "Friends" ensemble to never be nominated and now they have to snub her again? As "Cougar Town" evolved as the season progressed, so did Cox. Maybe next year...
Best actor - drama
Kyle Chandler - Friday Night Lights
Bryan Cranston - Breaking Bad
Matthew Fox - Lost
Michael C. Hall - Dexter
Jon Hamm - Mad Men
Hugh Laurie - House
Will win: Bryan Cranston. This is another one of those categories where the past winner is likely to remain the favorite.
Should win: Though I'd love to see Hugh Laurie recognized for his fantastic work on "House," I'm going to have to go with Matthew Fox. He really pulled out all the stops this year, and his performance in the finale alone should be enough to secure him the win.
Should have been nominated: Peter Krause - "Parenthood," Kiefer Sutherland - "24"
Best actress - drama
Connie Britton - Friday Night Lights
Glenn Close - Damages
Mariska Hargitay - Law and Order: SVU
January Jones - Mad Men
Julianna Margulies - The Good Wife
Kyra Sedgwick - The Closer
Will win: Julianna Margulies. She's swept every other award for her role on "The Good Wife" so far, and I don't expect that to stop here. She's a phenominal actress, and most critics and fans alike seem to agree she should win.
Should win: Julianna Margulies
Should have been nominated: Anna Paquin - "True Blood," Lauren Graham - "Parenthood"
Supporting actor - comedy
Ty Burrell - Modern Family
Chris Colfer - Glee
Jon Cryer - Two and a Half Men
Jesse Tyler Ferguson - Modern Family
Neil Patrick Harris - How I Met Your Mother
Eric Stonestreet - Modern Family
Will win: Ty Burrell. It's tough to choose between the three "Modern Family" men because they all turn in such consistently hilarious performances, but Burrell takes a character that could be grating and makes him completely lovable.
Should win: Ty Burrell
Should have been nominated: Charlie Day - "It's Always Sunny in Philadelphia," Danny Pudi - "Community"
Supporting actress - comedy
Julie Bowen - Modern Family
Jane Krakowski - 30 Rock
Jane Lynch - Glee
Holland Taylor - Two and a Half Men
Sofia Vergara - Modern Family
Kristen Wiig - Saturday Night Live
Will win: Jane Lynch. Is there even a question about this? She's the epitome of comedic awesomeness.
Should win: Jane Lynch. Although Julie Bowen and Sofia Vergara are also consistently hilarious.
Should have been nominated: Busy Phillips - "Cougar Town," Christa Miller - "Cougar Town," Kaitlin Olson - "It's Always Sunny in Philadelphia"
Supporting actor - drama
Andre Braugher - Men of a Certain Age
Michael Emerson - Lost
Terry O'Quinn - Lost
Aaron Paul - Breaking Bad
Martin Short - Damages
John Slattery - Mad Men
Will win: Michael Emerson. Especially in the final season, he turned Ben from pure villain to one of the show's most complex characters.
Should win: Michael Emerson
Should have been nominated: Josh Holloway - "Lost," Nestor Carbonell - "Lost," Sam Trammell - "True Blood"
Supporting actress - drama
Christine Baranski - The Good Wife
Rose Byrne - Damages
Sharon Gless - Burn Notice
Christina Hendricks - Mad Men
Elisabeth Moss - Mad Men
Archie Panjabi - The Good Wife
Will win: To be honest, I don't watch any of these shows, so I can't judge the performances. But most critics are choosing Christina Hendricks as the frontrunner, so we'll just go with her.
Should win: Christina Hendricks, for the same reason as above. Or Elisabeth Moss, because I like her even thought I don't watch "Mad Men."
Should have been nominated: Deborah Ann Woll - "True Blood," Khandi Alexander - "Treme" (another show I don't actually watch, but Alexander is an incredible talent, and the fact that she has never been recognized for her television work is a crime)

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